Dec 18 Hong Kong (Sha Tin) form analysis
Reliable Profit can be trusted
Race 1 (1,200m)
4 Sonic Boom steps out for his second start back in Class 5 and will appreciate an inside draw (4), after being caught wide from a poor barrier last time yet still managing third.
2 Silver Destiny will be a favoured runner as he makes his Class 5 debut. He impressed in a barrier trial, indicating he is ready to fire.
3 Speedy Fortune returns to his preferred track and distance after three encouraging 1,000m runs at Happy Valley.
6 Woodfire Champ had no luck chasing consecutive wins last time, caught wide early and unable to be fully tested late. A better draw gives him a chance to bounce back.
Race 2 (1,800m)
2 Soaring Bronco finally lobs into Class 5 after many tries at the bottom of Class 4 where he had plenty of chances to break through. Barrier 2 and the booking of James McDonald provide him with every opportunity to secure his maiden win.
1 Go Go Go will be out of trouble in the run from barrier 1, with apprentice Ellis Wong engaged to ride.
8 Harry’s Hero scored impressively at Sha Tin on Sunday and remains appealing.
6 Precision Goal was impressive last start winning at 1,650m. He should appreciate the extra distance.
Race 3 (1,200m)
7 Dragon Air Force endured a tough run last time when racing keenly early and finding traffic in the straight, yet managed a creditable fourth. With a cleaner run, he looks poised to break through.
1 Mark The Moment raced wide on the lead last time and faded late but was not beaten far. This is only his second attempt in Class 4 and he can prove competitive.
2 Nebraskan has barrier 11 to contend with but comes off a narrow defeat at this course and distance.
9 Racingrace is steadily improving and ran third to Beauty Destiny at Happy Valley last time. Another step forward puts him in contention.
Race 4 (1,200m)
4 Mojave Desert has struggled to make an impact in seven Hong Kong starts but now enters the race under Mark Newnham, a trainer making a name for improving stable transfers. His trial for the new yard showed marked improvement, and barrier 3 is an advantage.
6 Natural High may be ready to progress with blinkers applied, having won a trial impressively in the new gear since his last race.
1 Golden Long has returned in solid form this campaign with a pair of placings and should be well-prepared.
10 Vulcanus steps up in grade after a decisive last-start win in Class 5, and this relatively open Class 4 contest ensures he remains a competitive chance.
Race 5 (1,650m)
8 Hakka Radiance ran a strong race to finish fifth from a wide draw over 2,200m last time. He sees his chances improve returning to the all-weather and stepping into barrier 4. The step back in distance will also be to his liking.
13 Happydearhappydeer delivered his best effort when adopting front-running tactics to hold third behind Reliable Profit. Barrier 1 provides him with the opportunity to replicate that promising run.
2 Excel Wongchoy has been a model of consistency and will benefit from barrier 2.
6 Never Peter Out should appreciate the drop back in distance, given his earlier solid form.
Race 6 (1,650m)
4 Reliable Profit is after his fourth straight win. He will be tough to beat despite another wide draw.
1 Tale Of Perth steps into unknown territory at this distance but could improve dropping in class after an eye-catching effort over 1,200m at this track. If he can capitalise on barrier 1 early, his chances will be enhanced.
7 Jumbo Fortune is just a one-time winner from 45 Hong Kong starts, yet he is in fine form this season. McDonald returns to the saddle after partnering him two starts ago when placed third.
3 Massive Action will take some catching if allowed to dictate the pace up front.
Race 7 (1,200m)
1 Dancing Code returns to Class 3, where he has performed best, and makes his first attempt on the all-weather. His recent trial on the surface was encouraging.
11 Harold Win is a lightly raced type who had excuses on his first Class 3 run, when caught wide from a tough draw but was not far off.
6 Packing Bole looks set to enjoy a soft lead from pole position and his chances of bouncing back for a win increase.
4 Super Win Dragon has been in excellent form this season with a win and a last-start third. Expect him to be closing strongly.
Race 8 (1,650m)
3 Luck Is Back produced an encouraging effort on debut over 1,200m, finishing a closing fifth in what was short of his ideal trip. The step up in distance should bring about notable improvement for this Brazilian import.
4 Talents Ambition has been progressing well and is more than capable of securing back-to-back wins after overcoming a wide draw last time with an impressive victory.
7 Fighting Machine maps to enjoy a favourable run from an inside draw and, given his consistency, looks ready to break through in this grade.
8 Namjong Kingdom had excuses last time when finishing ninth, pulling hard early and encountering interference. Forgive that run and anticipate a stronger showing.
Comments courtesy of The Hong Kong Jockey Club
Get The New Paper on your phone with the free TNP app. Download from the Apple App Store or Google Play Store now